Prediction Markets Just Replaced Sportsbooks? $6B Super Bowl Surge Explained

About this episode

Prediction markets exploded during the Super Bowl — with billions in volume across Kalshi and Polymarket.Are they overtaking traditional sportsbooks?In this episode of The Weekly, Graham Stone and David Sencil break down:- The $6B Super Bowl prediction market surge• AI agents using Bitcoin over Lightning• Brazil’s $68B Bitcoin reserve proposal• Binance’s $1B BTC buy• Crime, regulation, and more00:00 - Cal-She's Super Bowl Trading Record00:22 - Welcome Back to The Weekly01:01 - Bitcoin's Elusive Price Point01:18 - News of the Week02:16 - Deutsche Bank's Bitcoin Stance04:07 - Bitcoin Adoption in Brazil06:18 - Brazil's Stablecoin Tax Proposal08:11 - US Dollar Dominance and Stablecoins09:55 - Binance's Bitcoin Purchase12:53 - AI and Bitcoin16:33 - Bitcoin Crime Stories23:36 - Prediction Markets and the Super Bowl29:19 - Coinbase vs. Nevada33:36 - Vitalik Buterin on Prediction Markets39:32 - The Fascination with Prediction Markets

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Feb 17, 2026

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